Are reality show producers the new authoritarians?

Maybe so.

I will have to say that the young woman in the pink dress is a good bit more attractive than Stanley Milgram.

-chiptaylor

Calling Out the Media

Bravo, Mr. Kennedy.

Cutzilla!

Another hilarious political ad…

HT: The Ballot Box

-chiptaylor

Podcast 20: 2010 Senate Election Predictions

Sunlight Foundation on Reconciliation

Lots of great info and a cool data graphic about reconciliation over at the Sunlight Foundation blog.

-chiptaylor

Prediction markets and politics

Prediction markets allow speculators to buy or sell futures contracts related to future events. This sort of market has existed for agricultural and other commodities, such as corn or soybeans, for a long time. Those markets are a major part of the mechanism that determines the price you pay for food in the grocery store.

In traditional futures markets speculators are making a judgment about the price of some commodity at a given point in the future. For example, a commodity exchange might have futures contracts for corn. Suppose contracts for May corn are trading at $3.00 per bushel. If you think that the price of corn in May will be less than $3.00, then you want to enter into a contract to sell corn. You will get $3.00 per bushel, but if you are correct about the actual price at the time (suppose the price turns out to be only $2.50) you will fulfill that contract with corn you buy at a cheaper price and make a profit. Note traders almost never actually deliver or take delivery of the corn, you settle the trade with an offsetting contract.

So, what does that have to do with politics? Well…
more…

Podcast 19: State & Local Finances

Chip walks us through property tax reform and state finances in these troubled times.

Obama the community organizer

If memory serves, in more than one podcast one or another of us have mentioned that Obama’s background as a community organizer influences the way he approaches legislative negotiations. A recent article in the New York Times discusses his approach.

Ever since his days as a young community organizer in Chicago, Mr. Obama has held fast to the belief that by listening carefully and appealing to reason he can bring people together to get results, an approach that in Washington has often come up short.

He is not showing any signs of changing his style. But he is facing perhaps the toughest test yet of his powers of persuasion: winning the votes he needs, in the face of unified Republican opposition and a deteriorating climate for Democrats, to push his health care measure through a skittish Congress.

Usually, he talks policy before politics, said Senator Evan Bayh, the Indiana Democrat who recently announced that he is retiring.“He always starts off with a policy argument, making the intellectual case for his point of view,” Mr. Bayh said. “Secondarily to that, there might be a discussion of some of the political ramifications, but he always starts off with, ‘Look, this is why I think this is right for the country, and I respect your point of view, I know where you are coming from, but here’s why I think we need to do it this way. Can you help me?’ ”

more…

Podcast 18: Congressional Leadership

Remember Those Warrantless Wiretaps?

I thought some readers might find this article from Wired magazine interesting.  There was, rightly I believe, great concern from civil liberties groups regarding the use of warrantless wiretaps during the tenure of the previous administration.  You might remember that several telecommunications companies released information to the government and then Congress granted these same companies protection from being sued.  It might surprise some to know that the Obama administration is trying to block the release of emails that dealt with the drafting of the legislation to grant this protection to the telecom companies.  A change of administration does not always mean a change in legal positions.

-bradgideon